Super Tuesday Predictions
I have been wrong all along so here is another go at it:
Democrats:
I have this pit in my stomach that Clinton is going to win big. I am going against that pit in saying that it will be a close race, but Clinton pulls ahead with the media and everybody else talking about “comebacks” and all that. The only thing I really can’t see is Obama putting it away convincingly.
Republicans:
The big three candidates left are all going to pull states. I predict Huckabee will pull two to three, Romney will pull six to eight and McCain will pull the balance. When delegates are counted, I think McCain will still be in the lead. If Huckabee drops out, people will split for both candidates fairly evenly defying simplistic media projections. When it becomes a two way race, things are either going to get incredibly civil or incredibly nasty. I can’t see any in between with these two.
Also, I get tired of candidates complaining about negative advertising. I realize it is an easy drum to beat and it rallies your supporters but it changes nothing. It costs much much more for a candidate to portray themselves positively in a compelling, memorable way than it does to paint your opponent negatively in a memorable way. That’s how it goes.